BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Ohio

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Ohio has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+3%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
89Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Ohio is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 9.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 6.4–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.4–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±38.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Ohio is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 9.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 6.4–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025116.415
2026116.415
2027116.415
2028116.415
2029116.415

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Omega4820241966
Dresden4220241966
Harveysburg2819961966
Cumberland2620171966
Coshocton2419911990
Rome2320241966
Coal Run2119921966
Stonecreek2120241996
Marion1920231966
Birmingham1920241988
New Somerset1719931966
New Marshfld1620241966
Lucerne1520241992
Smithfield1520241966
Tar Hollow1520241992
Garrettsvile1419911966
Kings Creek1420151992
Newcomerstwn1319951966
Wilmington1319961966
Wilgus1320191992
Kenton1120241967
London1120121997
South Olive1120241993
Tick Ridge1120191993
Pittsfield1020241992

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.