BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Ohio

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Ohio has edged up: up 13% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+13%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
89Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 11 (95% range 6.3–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.3–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±36.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 11 (95% range 6.3–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026116.415
2027116.415
2028116.315
2029116.315
2030116.315

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Omega4820241966
Dresden4320251966
Stonecreek3320251996
Harveysburg2819961966
Rome2820251966
Cumberland2620171966
Coshocton2419911990
Baxter Ridge2320251998
Coal Run2119921966
Marion1920231966
Birmingham1920241988
Lucerne1720251992
New Somerset1719931966
Smithfield1620251966
New Marshfld1620251966
South Olive1520251993
Tar Hollow1520241992
Garrettsvile1419911966
Kings Creek1420151992
Newcomerstwn1319951966
Wilmington1319961966
Wilgus1320191992
Bolins Mills1120251966
London1120121997
Tick Ridge1120191993

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.