BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Oklahoma has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-47%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
49Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 158% by 2030 — from 0.59 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.39–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+158%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.39–2.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±62%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 158% by 2030 — from 0.59 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.39–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.50.372.7
20271.50.372.7
20281.50.382.7
20291.50.382.7
20301.50.392.7

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pushmataha2220231994
Goodwater1120211992
Verden719711968
Hee Mountain720241999
Bethel520251993
Foraker420251992
Blanco320031971
Welch320251967
Beaver320041989
Big Cedar220241967
Canadian219911970
Peoria220191967
Barnsdall219741967
Hardesty219701970
Matoy220251993
Heyburn220111993
Cashion220171992
Mcalester119911967
Phillips120051974
Mill Creek119701970
Loco119721972
Ardmore119731973
Phroso120192019
Cookietown119981997
Ouachita Nf120241991

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.