BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Missouri has edged up: up 17% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+17%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
95Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Missouri. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Missouri is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 9.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 7.8–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.8–1395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Missouri is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 9.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 7.8–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025117.813
2026117.813
2027117.813
2028117.813
2029117.813

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Kahoka24520242002
Lucerne4120212016
Kahoka2719981967
Emden2720242017
Stet2519951972
Sticklervill2420241970
Frankford2420241985
Luray2420242015
Madison2320241971
Whitewater2220241996
Mcfall2220241994
Hamilton2019851977
Trenton2020241967
New Hampton1720242014
Auburn1720242014
Cascade1620241967
Bland1520241996
Deventer1420241967
Ohio1420241972
Graniteville1420241982
Barks1320241994
Cole Camp1219901971
Rensselaer1220241971
Rockingham1220241971
Bolckow1219921967

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.