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Species · Missouri · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Missouri

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Missouri has edged up: up 15% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+15%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
95Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Missouri. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Missouri is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 9.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 7.8–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.8–1395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Missouri is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 9.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 7.8–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026117.713
2027117.713
2028117.713
2029117.713
2030117.813

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lucerne6720252016
Kahoka24520242002
Luray3920252015
New Hampton3120252014
Deventer3020251967
Kahoka2719981967
Emden2720242017
Stet2519951972
Whitewater2520251996
Madison2320241971
Frankford2120251985
Hamilton2019851977
Sticklervill1920251970
Cascade1820251967
Trenton1720251967
Mcfall1720251994
Rensselaer1520251971
Kirksville1520251994
Graniteville1520251982
Danville1320251967
Cole Camp1219901971
Bolckow1219921967
Centerville1220251994
Bland1220251996
Millwood1220251999

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.