BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern House Wren Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

Northern House Wren in Nebraska has surged: up 102% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+102%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
72Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Northern House Wren Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Northern House Wren has surged in Nebraska: up 102% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Northern House Wren Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 15 (95% range 12–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
12–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 15 (95% range 12–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025141117
2026141118
2027151118
2028151118
2029151218

Northern House Wren Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Northern House Wren in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Murdock8520242018
Eagle Creek5820241967
Midway5720231967
Pine Ridge4620241999
Brady4520241980
Surprise3520241967
Chambers2920232023
Tilden2920242019
Red Cloud2720242018
Petersburg2420231969
Gretna 22420242019
Ponca2320242018
Winside2220031970
Kearney2120241968
Thurston2120241967
Hendley2120242018
Almeria1920211969
Berwyn 21920212014
Belvidere1820241967
Sparta1820211967
Crawford1820241980
Boelus1820222018
Gretna1720181967
Richland1720241968
Crookston1720242018

Northern House Wren Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.