BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Northern House Wren Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

Northern House Wren in Nebraska has surged: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+107%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
72Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Northern House Wren Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Northern House Wren has surged in Nebraska: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Northern House Wren Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 15 (95% range 12–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
12–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 15 (95% range 12–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026151118
2027151118
2028151218
2029151218
2030151218

Northern House Wren Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Northern House Wren in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pine Ridge6720251999
Brady6520251980
Eagle Creek5520251967
Murdock4820252018
Sparta4720251967
Midway4320251967
Surprise4220251967
Gretna 23420252019
Ponca3320252018
Chambers2920252023
Thurston2720251967
Crawford2720251980
Red Cloud2720242018
Bassett2320252018
Tilden2320252019
Winside2220031970
Nenzel2220252018
Richland2020251968
Madison2020252018
Almeria1920211969
Berwyn 21920252014
Petersburg1820251969
Boelus1820222018
Humboldt1820252018
Gretna1720181967

Northern House Wren Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.