Species · South Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern House Wren Population Trend in South Dakota
Northern House Wren in South Dakota has surged: up 686% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+686%Since 1969
64Routes In State
57Years
Notable Northern House Wren Trends in South Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern House Wren has surged in South Dakota: up 686% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Northern House Wren Population Forecast in South Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in South Dakota is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 7.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.6 (95% range 4.4–8.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
6.6Projected 2029 index
4.4–8.795% range
±20.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 8.4 |
| 2026 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| 2027 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| 2028 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 8.6 |
| 2029 | 6.6 | 4.4 | 8.7 |
Northern House Wren Survey Routes in South Dakota
| Howard | 41 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Chamberlain | 26 | 2011 | 1974 |
| Lightning Cr | 25 | 2022 | 1999 |
| Britton | 22 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Hazelrodt | 20 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Wilmot | 19 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Veblen | 18 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Promise | 16 | 2011 | 1971 |
| Custer | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Volga | 15 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Lane | 15 | 1999 | 1968 |
| Tripp | 14 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Rochford | 13 | 2018 | 1997 |
| Lane 2 | 13 | 2014 | 2000 |
| French Creek | 11 | 2005 | 1996 |
| Ft Thompson | 10 | 2011 | 1970 |
| Forbes | 10 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Black Fox | 9 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Lennox | 8 | 2024 | 1967 |
| White Lake | 8 | 2011 | 1969 |
| Wind Cave Np | 8 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Crow Creek | 7 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Volunteer | 7 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Roswell | 6 | 2014 | 1969 |
| Lacreek | 6 | 2023 | 1991 |
Northern House Wren Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.