BirdAnalyst
Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern House Wren Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesForest birds

Northern House Wren in North Carolina has risen sharply: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+72%Since 1968
67Routes In State
56Years

Notable Northern House Wren Trends in North Carolina

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern House Wren has risen sharply in North Carolina: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Northern House Wren Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in North Carolina is projected to rise about 78% by 2029 — from 0.47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.84 (95% range 0.47–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+78%Change by 2029
0.84Projected 2029 index
0.47–1.295% range
±21.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.810.441.2
20260.810.451.2
20270.820.461.2
20280.830.461.2
20290.840.471.2

Northern House Wren Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Northern House Wren in North Carolina.
Sturgills1320242001
Mooresville920012001
Todd720231995
Pinelog520232013
Cullowhee420241974
Cherryville319661966
Craven Gap319751970
Copeland320241968
Murphy320152007
Sawmill320241990
Broad Creek220131993
Saxapahaw220231972
Call220241968
Osmond220082001
Biscoe220091992
Durham220212017
Jackson220122012
Sheep Ridge120071995
Mashoes119821982
Uwharrie Nf119941993
Speed120061982
Kinston120221992
Jordan120241966
Rose120182018
Climax120111968

Northern House Wren Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.