BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern House Wren Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesForest birds

Northern House Wren in Arkansas has surged: up 846% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+846%Since 1973
14Routes In State
48Years

Notable Northern House Wren Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern House Wren has surged in Arkansas: up 846% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Northern House Wren Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Arkansas is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 0.54 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.31 (95% range 0.00–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±257.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-42%Change by 2029
0.31Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6895% range
±257.6%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.300.000.67
20260.300.000.67
20270.310.000.68
20280.310.000.68
20290.310.000.68

Northern House Wren Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Northern House Wren in Arkansas.
Avoca1520241973
Stamps220232001
Harrisburg219721972
Lurton219761971
Old Milo120052001
Marshall120212021
Havana120102010
Princeton 2120222022
Hollywood120142014
Rudy120162011
Poyen 2120102010
Saffell119751975
Fulton120121995
Centerton120112010

Northern House Wren Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.