Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Analysis

SittidaeForest birdsSitta canadensis

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged: up 676% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Red-breasted Nuthatch

The Red-breasted Nuthatch (Sitta canadensis) is a North American member of the Nuthatches (Sittidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the forest birds.

Size
4–7 in long (10–18 cm) — a small tree-climbing songbird (typical for the family)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and spiders gleaned from foliage and bark, with seeds and berries in season.
Range
Recorded on 1,308 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 38 states, most concentrated in the Atlantic Northern Forest.
Family
Sittidae · Forest birds

Notable Red-breasted Nuthatch TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in surveyed states: up 676% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch is projected to rise about 24% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 1.2–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch is projected to rise about 24% by 2030 — from 1.3 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 1.2–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.51.11.9
20271.51.12.0
20281.61.22.0
20291.61.22.0
20301.61.22.0

Where the Red-breasted Nuthatch Is Detected

BBS routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch, sized by most recent count.

Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend by State

Red-breasted Nuthatch population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alaska+930%199145
Arizona+170%197523
California+346%1970137
Colorado+452%197174
Connecticut-59%197413
Georgiainsufficient datan/a1
Idaho+446%197241
Illinoisinsufficient datan/a1
Indianainsufficient datan/a2
Kansasinsufficient datan/a1
Maine+149%196878
Marylandinsufficient datan/a6
Massachusetts+365%196930
Michigan35×196875
Minnesota17×196945
Montana+415%197063
Nebraska+63%19878
Nevadainsufficient datan/a4
New Hampshire+123%196826
New Jerseyinsufficient datan/a5
New Mexico-47%198121
New York+314%1968102
North Carolina+175%198013
North Dakotainsufficient datan/a2
Ohioinsufficient datan/a4
Oregon-17%1970110
Pennsylvania+234%197456
Rhode Islandinsufficient datan/a4
South Carolinainsufficient datan/a1
South Dakota+887%196915
Tennessee+366%19905
Utah+189%197639
Vermont+523%196825
Virginia+468%20008
Washington+136%197090
West Virginia+895%198015
Wisconsin16×196870
Wyoming+125%197050

Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Red-breasted Nuthatch population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
BCR 2-48%19934
BCR 4+622%199424
Northern Pacific Rainforest+38%1970142
Great Basin+14%1970107
Northern Rockies+105%1970148
Boreal Hardwood Transition15×1968123
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain+287%197050
Atlantic Northern Forest+237%1968155
Sierra Nevada+55%197039
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau+527%1971136
Badlands and Prairies+397%196945
Shortgrass Prairie-29%19866
Prairie Hardwood Transition+270%197064
Appalachian Mountains14×1969135
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast+101%196848
Coastal California+24%197242
Sierra Madre Occidental-45%197619
Chihuahuan Desert-84%19873

Red-breasted Nuthatch Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it up about 676% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.