Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in New York
Red-breasted Nuthatch in New York has surged: up 376% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+376%Since 1968
101Routes In State
58Years
Notable Red-breasted Nuthatch Trends in New York
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in New York: up 375% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in New York is projected to rise about 73% by 2029 — from 0.94 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.92–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+73%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.92–2.395% range
±40.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.6 | 0.84 | 2.3 |
| 2026 | 1.6 | 0.86 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 0.88 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.90 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 0.92 | 2.3 |
Red-breasted Nuthatch Survey Routes in New York
| Newcomb | 21 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Inlet | 16 | 2017 | 1979 |
| Underwood 2 | 13 | 2009 | 2005 |
| Horseshoe L. | 11 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Blue Ridge S | 10 | 2010 | 1969 |
| Swain | 9 | 2007 | 1969 |
| Sabattis | 9 | 1983 | 1966 |
| Highmarket | 8 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Blue Ridge N | 7 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Hope Falls | 7 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Warrensburg | 7 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Gabriels | 7 | 2024 | 1975 |
| St Regis Fls | 7 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Number Four | 6 | 1997 | 1968 |
| Old Forge | 6 | 2006 | 1971 |
| North River | 5 | 2007 | 1966 |
| Degrasse | 4 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Wanakena | 4 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Parishville | 4 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Huntington | 3 | 1981 | 1981 |
| Branchport | 3 | 2022 | 1997 |
| N Wilmurt | 3 | 1998 | 1968 |
| Underwood | 3 | 1996 | 1970 |
| Balmat | 3 | 2007 | 1977 |
| Petersburg | 2 | 2011 | 1968 |
Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.