Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Pennsylvania
Red-breasted Nuthatch in Pennsylvania has surged: up 269% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+269%Since 1974
56Routes In State
44Years
Notable Red-breasted Nuthatch Trends in Pennsylvania
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Pennsylvania: up 269% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Pennsylvania is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.03–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
0.12Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.2195% range
±45.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 0.20 |
| 2026 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| 2027 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| 2028 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| 2029 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.21 |
Red-breasted Nuthatch Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Patton | 3 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Teepleville | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Eldred | 2 | 2015 | 2007 |
| Cherry Sprs | 2 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Bow Bridge | 2 | 2010 | 1999 |
| Marsh Hill | 2 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Pine Gr Mill | 2 | 2018 | 1998 |
| Sproul Sf-A | 2 | 2023 | 2010 |
| Sugar Grove | 2 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Ellenton | 1 | 2005 | 2002 |
| Whig Hill | 1 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Berwick | 1 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Sigel | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Lynch | 1 | 2022 | 1998 |
| N Washington | 1 | 2019 | 2003 |
| N Pine Grove | 1 | 2023 | 2006 |
| Pottersdale | 1 | 2013 | 1973 |
| Odin | 1 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Betula | 1 | 2007 | 2003 |
| Russell City | 1 | 2022 | 2007 |
| Ridgway | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Rasselas | 1 | 2021 | 1996 |
| Roulette | 1 | 2013 | 2007 |
| Ansonia | 1 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Arnot | 1 | 2024 | 1996 |
Red-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.