BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

14×Since 1969
132Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.17–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.17–0.3395% range
±20.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.230.160.31
20260.240.160.32
20270.240.170.32
20280.250.170.32
20290.250.170.33

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Appalachian Mountains.
SwainNEW-YORK92007
Glade RunWEST-VIRGINIA82002
Glade Run 2WEST-VIRGINIA82024
HighlandsNORTH-CAROLINA72024
LinvilleNORTH-CAROLINA52024
Green BankWEST-VIRGINIA52023
GladyWEST-VIRGINIA52024
CullowheeNORTH-CAROLINA42024
Cades CoveTENNESSEE42024
PattonPENNSYLVANIA31983
Newfound GapTENNESSEE32024
Rural RetrtVIRGINIA32024
Iron Mtn.VIRGINIA32010
VindexMARYLAND22008
JenningsMARYLAND22016
FinzelMARYLAND22010
Whitney PtNEW-YORK22010
McdonoughNEW-YORK22017
LisleNEW-YORK22013
DrydenNEW-YORK22022
Vestal CtrNEW-YORK22019
CentervilleNEW-YORK22012
S Berne 2NEW-YORK22024
French Broad RiverNORTH-CAROLINA22022
Table RockNORTH-CAROLINA22022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.