BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Northern Rockies

All regionsNorthern RockiesForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Northern Rockies has surged: up 133% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+133%Since 1970
147Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Northern Rockies: up 133% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Northern Rockies is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 4.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 3.6–9.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
3.6–9.595% range
±31.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.33.39.2
20266.33.49.3
20276.43.49.3
20286.53.59.4
20296.53.69.5

Routes In Northern Rockies

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Northern Rockies.
L Pend O NwrWASHINGTON532024
CoolinIDAHO322024
Omak CreekWASHINGTON302024
DonnellyOREGON292006
Twin LakesWASHINGTON292024
CusickWASHINGTON292024
Hash RockOREGON262024
OchocoOREGON241982
Black Mtn.OREGON242004
CloverlandWASHINGTON232024
DesolationOREGON202007
LaurierWASHINGTON202022
Sullivan Lake 2WASHINGTON202024
Painted RockMONTANA192022
TroyOREGON192024
GrangevilleIDAHO172024
St RegisMONTANA172024
Hells CanyonOREGON172022
BarnhouseOREGON172024
Howard Mdws.OREGON162024
ChewelahWASHINGTON162021
SkalkahoMONTANA151998
KellerWASHINGTON152007
NaplesIDAHO142024
Thompson RivMONTANA142024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.