BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Sierra Madre Occidental has edged down: down 24% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

-24%Since 1976
19Routes In Region
50Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Red-breasted Nuthatch in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to rise about 564% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±159.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+564%Change by 2029
0.74Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±159.8%Backtest error
19742029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.760.001.8
20260.750.001.8
20270.750.001.8
20280.740.001.7
20290.740.001.7

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Sierra Madre Occidental.
Mt. GrahamARIZONA92023
Forest LakesARIZONA32006
Emory PassNEW-MEXICO32017
PrescottARIZONA22022
Aztec PeakARIZONA21978
WilliamsARIZONA22013
Tonto Vill.ARIZONA22015
PortalARIZONA22024
RuckerARIZONA21996
ReserveNEW-MEXICO22005
Vicks PeakNEW-MEXICO22016
FlagstaffARIZONA12016
Mormon LakeARIZONA11975
BlueARIZONA11988
PinetopARIZONA12022
AlpineARIZONA12023
Happy JackARIZONA12016
Carr MtnARIZONA12004
SprucedaleARIZONA12010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.