BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 392% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+392%Since 1969
45Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 392% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 154% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 1.4–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±138.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+154%Change by 2029
3.8Projected 2029 index
1.4–6.395% range
±138.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.61.26.1
20263.71.26.1
20273.71.36.2
20283.81.36.2
20293.81.46.3

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Badlands and Prairies.
Elk MountainSOUTH-DAKOTA462004
NorbeckSOUTH-DAKOTA432002
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA412021
Silver CitySOUTH-DAKOTA382012
Black FoxSOUTH-DAKOTA292017
Hill CitySOUTH-DAKOTA262013
RochfordSOUTH-DAKOTA242018
Maynard CouleeMONTANA232024
CusterSOUTH-DAKOTA202024
Lightning CrSOUTH-DAKOTA202022
Long DrawSOUTH-DAKOTA162024
Wind Cave NpSOUTH-DAKOTA122024
HazelrodtSOUTH-DAKOTA112024
Moskee 3WYOMING82024
SundanceWYOMING72024
Roubaix LkSOUTH-DAKOTA61991
Moskee 2WYOMING62021
Reed PointMONTANA32024
BrandenbergMONTANA32014
Pleasant ValSOUTH-DAKOTA32024
SeelyWYOMING31996
MoskeeWYOMING32001
BrusettMONTANA22023
JordanMONTANA22016
Flatwillow 2MONTANA22012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.