BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 272% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+272%Since 1970
64Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 272% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 0.23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.18–0.47). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2029
0.33Projected 2029 index
0.18–0.4795% range
±32.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.310.160.45
20260.310.170.45
20270.320.170.46
20280.320.180.46
20290.330.180.47

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Pigeon CreekWISCONSIN82024
MatherWISCONSIN52023
CumberlandWISCONSIN42024
Oconto FallsWISCONSIN32023
GreshamWISCONSIN32024
BriggsvilleWISCONSIN32010
Big RapidsMICHIGAN21983
Belding 2MICHIGAN22019
LapeerMICHIGAN22023
RochesterMICHIGAN22005
PrincetonMINNESOTA22019
EdwardsMINNESOTA21987
ElderonWISCONSIN22012
Fall RiverWISCONSIN21999
EllisINDIANA12008
ScottvilleMICHIGAN12023
Big Blue LkMICHIGAN12022
NashvilleMICHIGAN12008
CoopersvilleMICHIGAN12004
MontereyMICHIGAN11991
RemusMICHIGAN12023
No BradleyMICHIGAN12023
OlaMICHIGAN12022
JuniataMICHIGAN12024
DeckervilleMICHIGAN12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.