BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Shortgrass Prairie has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1986.

-78%Since 1986
5Routes In Region
23Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has collapsed in Shortgrass Prairie: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1986.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±201.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1295% range
±201.3%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.020.000.12
20260.010.000.12
20270.010.000.12
20280.010.000.12
20290.010.000.12

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Shortgrass Prairie.
YoderWYOMING21971
ElbertCOLORADO12019
CrawfordNEBRASKA12024
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA12016
LingleWYOMING11999

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.