Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Chihuahuan Desert

All regions Chihuahuan Desert Forest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Chihuahuan Desert has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

-72%Since 1987

3Routes In Region

34Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has fallen sharply in Chihuahuan Desert: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.58). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±139.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029

0.00Projected 2029 index

0.00–0.5895% range

±139.4%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% low	95% high
2025	0.00	0.00	0.58
2026	0.00	0.00	0.58
2027	0.00	0.00	0.58
2028	0.00	0.00	0.58
2029	0.00	0.00	0.58

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Chihuahuan Desert.

Carrizozo	NEW-MEXICO	5	1982
Cloudcroft	NEW-MEXICO	2	2024
Pinon	NEW-MEXICO	1	1996

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.