BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

14×Since 1968
123Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 5.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.9 (95% range 4.9–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+27%Change by 2029
6.9Projected 2029 index
4.9–9.095% range
±27.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.54.48.5
20266.64.58.6
20276.74.78.7
20286.84.88.8
20296.94.99.0

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
ChisholmMINNESOTA222024
McnaughtonWISCONSIN202024
Gibbs CityMICHIGAN182024
Land O LakesWISCONSIN162016
WausaukeeWISCONSIN162024
RacoMICHIGAN152024
Cluster LakesMICHIGAN152010
GooseneckMICHIGAN142010
Eagle RiverWISCONSIN142024
Hiawatha NfMICHIGAN132024
SidnawMICHIGAN132024
Sherry LakeMINNESOTA132022
GlendaleMINNESOTA132024
AmbergWISCONSIN132024
Betchler LksMICHIGAN122024
Land O' Lakes 2WISCONSIN122024
ConoverWISCONSIN122024
Crane LakeMINNESOTA112024
Sand LakeMICHIGAN102024
Nett LakeMINNESOTA102024
Popple RiverWISCONSIN102024
BootjackMICHIGAN92023
WilsonMICHIGAN92010
MuskallongeMICHIGAN92024
EnsignMICHIGAN92010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.