BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-breasted Nuthatch In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestForest birds

Red-breasted Nuthatch in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 234% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+234%Since 1968
155Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Atlantic Northern Forest: up 234% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.2 (95% range 2.5–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+27%Change by 2029
4.2Projected 2029 index
2.5–5.895% range
±14.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.02.35.6
20264.02.45.7
20274.12.45.7
20284.12.55.8
20294.22.55.8

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Red-breasted Nuthatch in Atlantic Northern Forest.
NewcombNEW-YORK212022
Pillsbury PdMAINE171968
InletNEW-YORK162017
Seboomook LkMAINE152014
Underwood 2NEW-YORK132009
MiddlesexVERMONT122024
Wilson MillsMAINE112024
Horseshoe L.NEW-YORK112017
NorthfieldMAINE101981
CarrabassettMAINE102024
Blue Ridge SNEW-YORK102010
AuroraMAINE92021
BaxterMAINE91988
HudsonMAINE92016
SabattisNEW-YORK91983
St JohnsburyVERMONT92024
East CalaisVERMONT92024
ReedsMAINE82024
Carrying PlMAINE82024
LudlowMAINE81998
BoundaryMAINE82016
NesowadnehunMAINE82021
ChesterfieldMASSACHUSETTS82024
GlenNEW-HAMPSHIRE82024
Dixville Notch 2NEW-HAMPSHIRE82024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.