Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-breasted Nuthatch In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
Red-breasted Nuthatch in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+143%Since 1968
48Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-breasted Nuthatch has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Nuthatch in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 91% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.07–0.38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+91%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.07–0.3895% range
±32.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
| 2026 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
| 2027 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
| 2028 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
| 2029 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.38 |
Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
| Ware River | MASSACHUSETTS | 8 | 2022 |
| Wellfleet 2 | MASSACHUSETTS | 5 | 2024 |
| Strafford | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 5 | 2021 |
| Princeton | MASSACHUSETTS | 4 | 1976 |
| Belchertown | MASSACHUSETTS | 4 | 2023 |
| Warren | MASSACHUSETTS | 3 | 2006 |
| Dover | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 3 | 2021 |
| Huntington | NEW-YORK | 3 | 1981 |
| Prattville | MASSACHUSETTS | 2 | 2019 |
| Maynard | MASSACHUSETTS | 2 | 2022 |
| N Oxford | MASSACHUSETTS | 2 | 1968 |
| S Barre | MASSACHUSETTS | 2 | 2022 |
| Cape Cod Ns | MASSACHUSETTS | 2 | 1993 |
| Friendship | NEW-JERSEY | 2 | 1998 |
| Quonset Pt | RHODE-ISLAND | 2 | 2024 |
| Mystic | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 2019 |
| E Hartland | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 1984 |
| Woodstock | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 1976 |
| Westbrook | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 1999 |
| Willimantic | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 1977 |
| No Woodbury | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 1984 |
| Sherman | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 2008 |
| Greenwich | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 2000 |
| Warren | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 2007 |
| Mid Haddam | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.