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Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird Population Trend in Virginia

All statesForest birds

Ovenbird in Virginia has surged: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+157%Since 1968
87Routes In State
58Years

Notable Ovenbird Trends in Virginia

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Virginia: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Ovenbird Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Virginia is projected to rise about 44% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 12–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+44%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
12–2095% range
±29.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025161120
2026161220
2027161220
2028161220
2029161220

Ovenbird Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Ovenbird in Virginia.
Bald Knob4920241992
Pw Forest Pk4620091992
W Augusta4520241967
Big Meadows4220241993
Gr North Mtn4120241993
Front Royal3420241993
Shenandoa Np2920241993
Brandon2620241992
Walkers2520231992
Truhart2420241996
Loft Mtn2320231993
Douthat2220141992
Ft Pickett S2119951993
Isom1920241969
Ft Pickett N1919951993
Iron Mountain 21920132012
Rural Retrt1820241983
New Market1820241992
Potts Mtn.1720131992
Mountain Lk.1620181992
Port Royal1520191977
Pine Mtn.1520241996
Hall1420231967
Saltville1420241969
Gloucester1420241992

Ovenbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.