Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Ovenbird Population Trend in Missouri
Ovenbird in Missouri has surged: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
20×Since 1969
65Routes In State
56Years
Notable Ovenbird Trends in Missouri
long arc increasecomputed index
Ovenbird has surged in Missouri: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Ovenbird Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Missouri is projected to rise about 34% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.3–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+34%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.3–2.695% range
±17%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 2027 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.6 |
Ovenbird Survey Routes in Missouri
| Graniteville | 18 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Centerville | 14 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Clementine 2 | 14 | 2007 | 2005 |
| Wesco | 13 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Bennett | 13 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Clementine | 8 | 2002 | 1974 |
| Williamsvill | 7 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Gerald | 6 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Ironton | 5 | 1980 | 1973 |
| Cascade | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Huntsville | 3 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Sweden | 2 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Akers | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Handley | 2 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Syracuse | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Centertown | 2 | 2021 | 1986 |
| House Springs | 2 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Kahoka | 2 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Trenton | 2 | 2017 | 2016 |
| Union | 2 | 1999 | 1991 |
| Doe Run | 2 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Pulaski | 1 | 2019 | 1987 |
| Peace Valley | 1 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Cassville | 1 | 2022 | 2006 |
| Pineville | 1 | 2024 | 1983 |
Ovenbird Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.