BirdAnalyst
Species · South Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird Population Trend in South Dakota

All statesForest birds

Ovenbird in South Dakota has edged down: down 23% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-23%Since 1969
16Routes In State
57Years

Notable Ovenbird Trends in South Dakota

No notable trend signals for Ovenbird in South Dakota. See the full index history below.

Ovenbird Population Forecast in South Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in South Dakota is projected to rise about 64% by 2029 — from 0.86 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.00–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±250.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+64%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.995% range
±250.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.002.8
20261.40.002.8
20271.40.002.9
20281.40.002.9
20291.40.002.9

Ovenbird Survey Routes in South Dakota

Routes recording Ovenbird in South Dakota.
Norbeck1120021992
Silver City920121992
Hill City820131992
Long Draw720241992
Elk Mountain720041992
Lightning Cr520221992
Hazelrodt420241992
Pleasant Val420241993
Rochford320181996
Black Fox220171992
Wind Cave Np220241999
Custer220241967
Reva119991985
Englewood120211992
Lane 2120072007
Roubaix Lk119911967

Ovenbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.