BirdAnalyst
Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird Population Trend in Vermont

All statesForest birds

Ovenbird in Vermont has surged: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+144%Since 1968
26Routes In State
58Years

Notable Ovenbird Trends in Vermont

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Vermont: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Ovenbird Population Forecast in Vermont

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Vermont is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 20–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2029
25Projected 2029 index
20–2995% range
±5.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025241928
2026241928
2027241929
2028242029
2029252029

Ovenbird Survey Routes in Vermont

Routes recording Ovenbird in Vermont.
Marlboro4720241966
Stratton4720241966
East Calais4420241966
Middlesex4120241968
Landgrove3820241966
Northfld Fls3320211980
Stowe3120241988
Gaysville2620211966
Newbury 22520232005
S Reading2320241966
St Johnsbury2320241970
East Haven2020241966
Newbury2020041986
Hardwick2020241966
Fletcher1420241972
S Wallingfrd1120221966
Post Mills920241966
Shaftsbury920241966
Hinesburg919941966
Bristol920181995
Greensboro820241967
North Pownal620241966
W Rutland620241966
Waterville619801967
Colchester120241986

Ovenbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.