Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Ovenbird Population Trend in Arkansas
Ovenbird in Arkansas has edged up: up 10% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+10%Since 1969
32Routes In State
57Years
Notable Ovenbird Trends in Arkansas
No notable trend signals for Ovenbird in Arkansas. See the full index history below.
Ovenbird Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Arkansas is projected to rise about 141% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.0 (95% range 1.5–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±131.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+141%Change by 2029
4.0Projected 2029 index
1.5–6.595% range
±131.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 6.3 |
| 2026 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 6.3 |
| 2027 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 6.4 |
| 2028 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 6.4 |
| 2029 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 |
Ovenbird Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Compton | 24 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Ozark Nf | 9 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Boston Mtn. | 9 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Waldron | 9 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Hatfield 2 | 7 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Marshall | 7 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Ramsey | 5 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Crows | 5 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Old Milo | 4 | 1994 | 1992 |
| Zion | 4 | 1996 | 1970 |
| Rudy | 4 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Poyen | 3 | 1985 | 1972 |
| Rupert | 3 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Magazine Mtn | 2 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Ashdown | 2 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Blakely | 2 | 1999 | 1970 |
| Lurton | 2 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Sims | 2 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Stamps | 1 | 2022 | 2008 |
| Crowley'S Ridge | 1 | 2022 | 2011 |
| Hollywood | 1 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Saffell | 1 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Stark | 1 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Maynard | 1 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Fulton | 1 | 1995 | 1969 |
Ovenbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.