BirdAnalyst
Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird Population Trend in New Jersey

All statesForest birds

Ovenbird in New Jersey has surged: up 422% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+422%Since 1968
41Routes In State
58Years

Notable Ovenbird Trends in New Jersey

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in New Jersey: up 422% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Ovenbird Population Forecast in New Jersey

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in New Jersey is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 14 (95% range 6.1–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
14Projected 2029 index
6.1–2195% range
±23.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025135.721
2026135.821
2027145.921
2028146.021
2029146.121

Ovenbird Survey Routes in New Jersey

Routes recording Ovenbird in New Jersey.
Spraguetown 38920242021
Pomona6020241978
Friendship5420241977
Villas4319811979
Winslow4220241989
High Point3820241977
Estell Manor3020222021
Del Haven2219911991
Hope1519941970
Kemah Lake1420241966
Spraguetown 21420122000
Bennett Mill1320001966
Toms River820241966
Albion820221966
Six Points720241978
New Bedford620171969
Ancora519771966
Sandbrook520241969
Spraguetown519991977
Mt Misery519891976
Holmansville420091969
Ramseysburg420241995
Cape May Ch320131992
Greenwich220241966
Croton220071970

Ovenbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.