BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesForest birds

Ovenbird in Kentucky has risen sharply: up 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+55%Since 1968
50Routes In State
58Years

Notable Ovenbird Trends in Kentucky

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has risen sharply in Kentucky: up 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Ovenbird Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Kentucky is projected to rise about 257% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 0.32–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±202.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+257%Change by 2029
4.6Projected 2029 index
0.32–8.995% range
±202.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.40.108.6
20264.40.168.7
20274.50.218.7
20284.50.268.8
20294.60.328.9

Ovenbird Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Ovenbird in Kentucky.
Pippa Passes3919971988
Mammoth Cave3620141995
Staffordsvil2319971996
Mammoth Cave North2020132009
Paintsville1719951979
Pine Ridge1519781966
Beattyville 21420242006
Carter1020241976
Cumberlnd Gp720181966
Phelps719971979
Campton720211979
Beattyville420011966
Levee419821966
Lebanon Junction420242001
Brownsville320242022
Kehoe 2320232005
Daniel Boone319881966
Apex220182005
Mckee220241967
Gatewood220041984
Kehoe219921972
Levee 2220192007
Million 2220152015
Hodgenville 2220162008
Lovelacevile119891989

Ovenbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.