Species · Wisconsin · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Wisconsin
Black-capped Chickadee in Wisconsin has surged: up 223% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+223%Since 1968
98Routes In State
58Years
Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in Wisconsin
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-capped Chickadee has surged in Wisconsin: up 223% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in Wisconsin
If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 9.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 9.1–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.2%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+31%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
9.1–1595% range
±35.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 8.6 | 14 |
| 2026 | 12 | 8.7 | 15 |
| 2027 | 12 | 8.8 | 15 |
| 2028 | 12 | 9.0 | 15 |
| 2029 | 12 | 9.1 | 15 |
Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in Wisconsin
| Irma | 36 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Washington I | 36 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Land O Lakes | 34 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Wausaukee | 33 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Eagle River | 25 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Raymond | 25 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Union Twp | 24 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Paris | 21 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Mukwonago 2 | 21 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Mcnaughton | 18 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Hudson | 17 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Conover | 17 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Iron River | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Land O' Lakes 2 | 16 | 2024 | 2017 |
| River Falls | 16 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Hatfield | 15 | 1998 | 1970 |
| Saxeville | 15 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Dresser | 14 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Clintonville | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Shanagolden | 12 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Popple River | 12 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Verona | 12 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Bayfield | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Cumberland | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Stratford | 11 | 2024 | 1969 |
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
alaskacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.