Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in West Virginia
Black-capped Chickadee in West Virginia has surged: up 225% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+225%Since 1970
35Routes In State
56Years
Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in West Virginia
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-capped Chickadee has surged in West Virginia: up 225% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in West Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in West Virginia is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.5–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+55%Change by 2029
2.8Projected 2029 index
1.5–4.195% range
±57.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| 2026 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| 2027 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| 2029 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 4.1 |
Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in West Virginia
| Rio | 16 | 1995 | 1974 |
| Bowden | 12 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Glady | 12 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Denmar | 11 | 2023 | 1980 |
| Glade Run | 10 | 2002 | 1988 |
| Bemis | 6 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Green Bank | 6 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Glade Run 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Valley Head | 5 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Richwood | 5 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Meadowville | 5 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Ruthbelle | 5 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Bismark | 4 | 2023 | 1976 |
| Sleepy Creek | 4 | 1990 | 1966 |
| Three Forks | 3 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Washburn | 3 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Mt Storm | 3 | 1975 | 1970 |
| Yellow Spg | 3 | 2021 | 1974 |
| Smoot | 2 | 2022 | 2013 |
| Olcott | 2 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Lost River | 2 | 2022 | 1996 |
| Shanghai | 2 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Mo Of Seneca | 2 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Greer | 2 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Hix | 1 | 1998 | 1978 |
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.