Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Washington
Black-capped Chickadee in Washington has declined: down 26% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-26%Since 1970
86Routes In State
56Years
Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in Washington
No notable trend signals for Black-capped Chickadee in Washington. See the full index history below.
Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in Washington
If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in Washington is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 5.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 2.5–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-14%Change by 2029
4.3Projected 2029 index
2.5–6.295% range
±9.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| 2026 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| 2027 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| 2028 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| 2029 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 6.2 |
Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in Washington
| Deception | 30 | 2018 | 1992 |
| Chewelah | 24 | 2021 | 1977 |
| Carnation | 21 | 2024 | 1988 |
| L Pend O Nwr | 21 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Leavenworth | 20 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Twisp | 18 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Keller | 18 | 2007 | 1968 |
| Issaquah | 18 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Kendall | 17 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Cusick | 17 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Everett | 17 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Laurier | 17 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Port Angeles | 15 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Camas | 15 | 2018 | 1977 |
| Snowden | 13 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Nighthawk | 13 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Rainier | 12 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Warm Beach | 11 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Mendota | 11 | 1988 | 1977 |
| Mendota 2 | 11 | 2000 | 1989 |
| Index | 10 | 1970 | 1968 |
| Tonasket | 10 | 2018 | 1982 |
| South Elma | 10 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Deer Park | 10 | 2015 | 1994 |
| Bay View | 9 | 2017 | 1993 |
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.