BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesForest birds

Black-capped Chickadee in New Mexico has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1992.

-54%Since 1992
10Routes In State
28Years

Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in New Mexico

long arc declinecomputed index

Black-capped Chickadee has fallen sharply in New Mexico: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1992.

Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in New Mexico is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1195% range
±81.7%Backtest error
19872029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.040.000.11
20260.040.000.11
20270.040.000.11
20280.040.000.11
20290.040.000.11

Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Black-capped Chickadee in New Mexico.
Mcgaffey719941994
Valencia319911991
La Plata219921992
Gallinas220211999
Farmington119871987
Cebolla120122005
Ojo Sarco120242002
Angel Fire119971992
Mt. Taylor120112007
Vallecitos120212017

Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States

alaskacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.