BirdAnalyst
Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Utah

All statesForest birds

Black-capped Chickadee in Utah has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

-57%Since 1976
51Routes In State
49Years

Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in Utah

long arc declinecomputed index

Black-capped Chickadee has fallen sharply in Utah: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in Utah

If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in Utah is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 0.32 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-54%Change by 2029
0.15Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±51.8%Backtest error
19732029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.200.001.1
20260.180.001.0
20270.170.001.0
20280.160.001.0
20290.150.001.0

Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in Utah

Routes recording Black-capped Chickadee in Utah.
La Sal2519981993
M Warner Res719931993
Hardware Ranch720231995
Uintah Nf719941987
La Sal 2620062003
Ant Flat-Ogden Can620231997
Book Ridge520132003
Lost Cr. Res520181995
Bryce Canyon520241992
Richfield520161994
Grizzly Rdge420221986
Soapstone420242017
Moon Lake420031993
Skyline Driv419871987
Kamas420242010
Monticello420241999
Main Canyon419911987
Hyrum319781976
Logan Canyon320191998
Shivwitz319971994
Jensen320232002
Altonah220151992
Dragerton219731973
Saleratus Cr220111999
Red Spur Mtn.220231998

Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States

alaskacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.