Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Indiana
Black-capped Chickadee in Indiana has risen sharply: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+56%Since 1972
17Routes In State
52Years
Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in Indiana
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-capped Chickadee has risen sharply in Indiana: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in Indiana
If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in Indiana is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.38 (95% range 0.14–0.61). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-6%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.14–0.6195% range
±68.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.36 | 0.13 | 0.59 |
| 2026 | 0.36 | 0.13 | 0.60 |
| 2027 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 0.60 |
| 2028 | 0.37 | 0.14 | 0.61 |
| 2029 | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.61 |
Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in Indiana
| Knox | 6 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Portage 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Columbia Cty | 4 | 2004 | 1994 |
| Lakeville | 4 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Gary | 3 | 1999 | 1993 |
| Packertown | 3 | 1993 | 1980 |
| Laporte | 3 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Indiana Dune | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Kewanna | 2 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Lagrange | 2 | 2017 | 1999 |
| Hebron | 1 | 2022 | 1966 |
| South Bend | 1 | 1991 | 1975 |
| Middlebury | 1 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Ellis | 1 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Portage | 1 | 2002 | 2001 |
| Crown Point | 1 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Kankakee Sands | 1 | 2021 | 2011 |
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
alaskacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahoillinoisiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.