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Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in North Dakota

All statesForest birds

Black-capped Chickadee in North Dakota has edged down: down 13% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-13%Since 1970
42Routes In State
56Years

Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in North Dakota

No notable trend signals for Black-capped Chickadee in North Dakota. See the full index history below.

Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in North Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in North Dakota is projected to rise about 56% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.52 (95% range 0.01–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±210.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+56%Change by 2029
0.52Projected 2029 index
0.01–1.095% range
±210.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.510.001.0
20260.510.001.0
20270.520.001.0
20280.520.001.0
20290.520.011.0

Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in North Dakota

Routes recording Black-capped Chickadee in North Dakota.
Abercrombie 2520162013
Abercrombie420121969
Gorham420181980
Turtle Mtns420241980
Walcott320211968
Kempton220081968
Loraine220191988
Denbigh220241968
Zap220191980
Glen Ullin220122000
Sheyenne Lk220161987
Montpelier220061995
Forman120161970
Sydney119781978
Edgeley120221982
Lake George119831983
Danzig119921992
Emerado120241973
Cooperstown120241969
Wimbledon120131989
Carson119971997
Buchanan120061989
Bowesmont119951995
Nash120161980
Lakota120051989

Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States

alaskacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.