Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Ohio
Black-capped Chickadee in Ohio has increased: up 27% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+27%Since 1968
27Routes In State
58Years
Notable Black-capped Chickadee Trends in Ohio
No notable trend signals for Black-capped Chickadee in Ohio. See the full index history below.
Black-capped Chickadee Population Forecast in Ohio
If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Chickadee in Ohio is projected to rise about 106% by 2029 — from 0.53 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.39–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±151.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+106%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.39–1.895% range
±151.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.36 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.37 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.37 | 1.8 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.38 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.39 | 1.8 |
Black-capped Chickadee Survey Routes in Ohio
| Garrettsvile | 27 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Wayland | 12 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Valley City | 10 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Hiram | 9 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Pittsfield | 6 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Middlefield | 6 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Peru | 5 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Napoleon | 2 | 2015 | 2004 |
| Strongsville | 2 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Petersburg | 2 | 2010 | 1996 |
| New Somerset | 2 | 1993 | 1966 |
| Lockport | 1 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Kunkle | 1 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Bloomville | 1 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Kingsway | 1 | 2023 | 1997 |
| N Baltimore | 1 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Bismark | 1 | 1994 | 1985 |
| Lenox | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Herner Crns | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Kenton | 1 | 2010 | 2007 |
| Lucerne | 1 | 2008 | 1997 |
| Lattasburg | 1 | 1994 | 1966 |
| Fulton | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Maysville | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Limestone | 1 | 2024 | 2010 |
Black-capped Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
alaskacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.