Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Population Trend in Indiana

Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Indiana has risen sharply: up 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+53%Since 1968
64Routes In State
58Years

Notable Northern Rough-winged Swallow Trends in Indiana

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Rough-winged Swallow has risen sharply in Indiana: up 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Indiana is projected to rise about 34% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.90–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+34%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.903.195% range
±27%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.00.873.1
20262.00.883.1
20272.00.893.1
20282.00.903.1
20292.00.903.1

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Indiana.
Indian Spgs1420241984
Witts Station920242000
Gary819991981
Swayzee820031986
Galveston720221981
Lagrange620241999
Belmont520241981
Packertown420041973
Frankfort420212013
Montpelier420242018
Newberry420242000
Fowler320221966
Thorntown320241982
Wabash320241984
Pimento320221981
Brazil320221966
Spencer320241971
Sexton320221982
Milroy320181966
Shelbyville320241985
Washington320231987
Vevay320231967
Georgia320241999
Cross Plains320092003
Cyprss320231999

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.