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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Population Trend in Florida

All statesAerial insectivores

Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Florida has declined: down 34% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-34%Since 1969
75Routes In State
57Years

Notable Northern Rough-winged Swallow Trends in Florida

No notable trend signals for Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Florida. See the full index history below.

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Florida is projected to rise about 161% by 2029 — from 0.32 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.82 (95% range 0.00–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±205.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+161%Change by 2029
0.82Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.595% range
±205.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.790.002.5
20260.800.002.5
20270.810.002.5
20280.820.002.5
20290.820.002.5

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Florida.
Shawano 22120112004
Oak Grove1020151971
St Vincent I1020111997
Arbuckle919931990
Pennywash Cr820092009
Port St Joe 2820152015
Ft Lonesome620102001
Cross City620231993
Holey Land620241993
Broad Branch520231975
Wildernes Pk520051993
Hildreth 2520242010
Doctor Inlet520061971
Hildreth520081987
Shawano520012001
Seminole Hls419951971
Telogia419841970
Belmont419961967
Ft Gadsden420151969
Doctors Inlet 2420182015
Childs420142000
Miller Xrds420191988
Deanville320131992
Seminole Hills 2320022002
Mossy Head220111968

Northern Rough-winged Swallow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.