Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk Population Trend in Minnesota
Common Nighthawk in Minnesota has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-74%Since 1969
45Routes In State
49Years
Notable Common Nighthawk Trends in Minnesota
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has fallen sharply in Minnesota: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Common Nighthawk Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in Minnesota is projected to fall about 88% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-88%Change by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1395% range
±73.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2026 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
Common Nighthawk Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Money Creek | 5 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Nebish | 4 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Lude | 4 | 2000 | 1981 |
| Nett Lake | 4 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Ash Creek | 3 | 2016 | 1983 |
| Lakeville | 3 | 2001 | 1976 |
| Waskish | 3 | 1978 | 1978 |
| Hartland | 2 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Minnetonka | 2 | 2014 | 1970 |
| Knapp | 2 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Mille Lacs | 2 | 2008 | 1968 |
| Bena | 2 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Chatfield | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Huntley | 1 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Sherburne Nr | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Big Stone | 1 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Courtland | 1 | 1987 | 1985 |
| Dawson | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Princeton | 1 | 2015 | 1971 |
| Osseo | 1 | 2018 | 1983 |
| St Stephen | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Gluek | 1 | 1980 | 1971 |
| Chokio | 1 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Cromwell | 1 | 1998 | 1968 |
| Wigwam Bay | 1 | 1993 | 1969 |
Common Nighthawk Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.