Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Nighthawk Population Trend in Arkansas

Common Nighthawk in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-53%Since 1969
33Routes In State
56Years

Notable Common Nighthawk Trends in Arkansas

long arc declinecomputed index

Common Nighthawk has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Common Nighthawk Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in Arkansas is projected to fall about 97% by 2029 — from 0.75 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±109.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-97%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.000.3995% range
±109.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.050.000.42
20260.040.000.41
20270.040.000.40
20280.030.000.40
20290.020.000.39

Common Nighthawk Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Common Nighthawk in Arkansas.
Dell1820242010
Ashdown620131967
Whitton419851985
Stark419701968
Wilson320242001
South Bend220061969
Poyen219861970
Harrisburg219881979
Saffell220031979
Coal Hill220211986
Maynard219941967
Old Milo119961967
Eudora119731973
Locust Bayou120161974
Stamps120221969
Hope120211967
Hughes119901976
West Tyler119821967
Magazine Mtn120122011
Hollywood120071975
Augusta119921970
Massard120221967
Zion120111970
Fulton120001967
Compton120181970

Common Nighthawk Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.