Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk Population Trend in Arkansas
Common Nighthawk in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-53%Since 1969
33Routes In State
56Years
Notable Common Nighthawk Trends in Arkansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Common Nighthawk Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in Arkansas is projected to fall about 97% by 2029 — from 0.75 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±109.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-97%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3995% range
±109.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
Common Nighthawk Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Dell | 18 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Ashdown | 6 | 2013 | 1967 |
| Whitton | 4 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Stark | 4 | 1970 | 1968 |
| Wilson | 3 | 2024 | 2001 |
| South Bend | 2 | 2006 | 1969 |
| Poyen | 2 | 1986 | 1970 |
| Harrisburg | 2 | 1988 | 1979 |
| Saffell | 2 | 2003 | 1979 |
| Coal Hill | 2 | 2021 | 1986 |
| Maynard | 2 | 1994 | 1967 |
| Old Milo | 1 | 1996 | 1967 |
| Eudora | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Locust Bayou | 1 | 2016 | 1974 |
| Stamps | 1 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Hope | 1 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Hughes | 1 | 1990 | 1976 |
| West Tyler | 1 | 1982 | 1967 |
| Magazine Mtn | 1 | 2012 | 2011 |
| Hollywood | 1 | 2007 | 1975 |
| Augusta | 1 | 1992 | 1970 |
| Massard | 1 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Zion | 1 | 2011 | 1970 |
| Fulton | 1 | 2000 | 1967 |
| Compton | 1 | 2018 | 1970 |
Common Nighthawk Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.