Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk Population Trend in California
Common Nighthawk in California has surged: up 214% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+214%Since 1970
81Routes In State
56Years
Notable Common Nighthawk Trends in California
long arc increasecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has surged in California: up 214% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Common Nighthawk Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in California is projected to rise about 57% by 2029 — from 0.69 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.41–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±159.5%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+57%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.41–1.795% range
±159.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.39 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.40 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.41 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.41 | 1.7 |
Common Nighthawk Survey Routes in California
| Imperial Dam | 22 | 1991 | 1987 |
| Eagle Lake | 20 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Goumaz | 19 | 2010 | 1997 |
| Clear Lk Res | 15 | 2018 | 1972 |
| Tionesta | 14 | 2021 | 1998 |
| Crowley Lake | 12 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Ingalls | 11 | 2000 | 1974 |
| Honey Lake | 9 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Hat Creek | 8 | 2018 | 1974 |
| Little Truckee | 6 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Pine Mountain | 6 | 2017 | 1998 |
| Chilcoot | 6 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Hackamore | 5 | 2007 | 2003 |
| Madeline | 5 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Lassen Park | 4 | 1988 | 1972 |
| Dorris | 4 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Iron Gate | 4 | 2019 | 1989 |
| Crowder Flat | 4 | 2019 | 2002 |
| Red Bluff | 3 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Big Bear | 3 | 1986 | 1969 |
| Macdoel | 3 | 2018 | 1980 |
| Bridgeport | 3 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Downieville | 3 | 2013 | 1975 |
| Chaos Crater | 3 | 2018 | 1990 |
| Nubieber | 2 | 2018 | 1972 |
Common Nighthawk Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.