Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Barn Swallow Population Trend in Nevada
Barn Swallow in Nevada has surged: up 353% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+353%Since 1970
42Routes In State
54Years
Notable Barn Swallow Trends in Nevada
long arc increasecomputed index
Barn Swallow has surged in Nevada: up 353% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Barn Swallow Population Forecast in Nevada
If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Nevada is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 0.00–8.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±174.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
2.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.795% range
±174.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 8.6 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 8.6 |
| 2027 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 8.6 |
| 2028 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 8.6 |
| 2029 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 8.7 |
Barn Swallow Survey Routes in Nevada
| Gardnerville 2 | 24 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Carson River | 18 | 2005 | 2001 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | 12 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Chimney Res. | 12 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Toiyabe Nf | 11 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Calico Spr | 10 | 1974 | 1972 |
| Virgin Creek | 10 | 2018 | 1995 |
| Gardnerville | 9 | 2012 | 1992 |
| Minerva | 9 | 2022 | 1989 |
| Oreana | 9 | 2003 | 2002 |
| Majors Place | 8 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Fallon | 6 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Ranchogrande | 5 | 2015 | 1990 |
| Sand Pass | 4 | 2018 | 1987 |
| Cortez | 4 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Hiko | 4 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Jarbidge | 4 | 2013 | 2006 |
| Dinner Sta | 3 | 1991 | 1968 |
| Comins Lake | 3 | 2009 | 2006 |
| Walker Can | 2 | 2023 | 1982 |
| Humboldt Nf | 2 | 2015 | 1994 |
| Illipah | 2 | 2021 | 1971 |
| Dobbin Creek | 2 | 2009 | 1971 |
| Ruby Valley | 2 | 2000 | 1997 |
| Nixon | 2 | 2024 | 1975 |
Barn Swallow Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.