Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Mockingbird Population Trend in Missouri
Northern Mockingbird in Missouri has fallen sharply: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-61%Since 1969
94Routes In State
57Years
Notable Northern Mockingbird Trends in Missouri
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Mockingbird has fallen sharply in Missouri: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Northern Mockingbird Population Forecast in Missouri
If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Missouri is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 5.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.31–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-12%Change by 2029
4.8Projected 2029 index
0.31–9.295% range
±21%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.3 | 0.85 | 9.8 |
| 2026 | 5.2 | 0.71 | 9.6 |
| 2027 | 5.0 | 0.58 | 9.5 |
| 2028 | 4.9 | 0.45 | 9.4 |
| 2029 | 4.8 | 0.31 | 9.2 |
Northern Mockingbird Survey Routes in Missouri
| Cameron | 25 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Gildehouse | 24 | 1989 | 1978 |
| Ohio | 23 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Whitewater | 20 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Kennett | 20 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Kingsville | 17 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Milford | 17 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Cole Camp | 15 | 1990 | 1971 |
| West Plains | 15 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Cp Girardeau | 14 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Pulaski | 13 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Cassville | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Miller | 13 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Blodgett | 13 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Graydon | 12 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Filley | 12 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Sni Mills | 12 | 1990 | 1967 |
| Hayti | 12 | 2021 | 2016 |
| Handley | 11 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Crane | 11 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Moselle | 11 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Reeds | 10 | 2023 | 1974 |
| Stet | 10 | 1995 | 1972 |
| Barks | 10 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Osage Beach | 10 | 2024 | 1997 |
Northern Mockingbird Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.