BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Northern Mockingbird Population Trend in Ohio

All statesGeneralists

Northern Mockingbird in Ohio has edged up: up 11% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+11%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
81Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Northern Mockingbird Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Northern Mockingbird in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Northern Mockingbird Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.9 (95% range 2.1–5.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–5.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.9 (95% range 2.1–5.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.82.05.7
20273.92.05.7
20283.92.15.7
20293.92.15.7
20303.92.15.7

Northern Mockingbird Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Northern Mockingbird in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dunlap3019881966
Greasy Ridge3019911966
Norwalk1820222009
Smithfield1720251966
Baxter Ridge1620251998
Newport1619941966
Darrtown1520211966
Meadowbrook1320211966
Wilmington1319961966
Omega1220241966
Pittsfield1120242000
Lucerne1120252000
N Baltimore1020191969
Lattasburg1020251982
Harveysburg 21020251997
New Dover920221968
Kenton820251971
Dresden820251966
Harveysburg819961966
Stonecreek820251997
Enon820251984
Fulton720251967
West Elkton720121992
Ash Ridge720211992
Birmingham720241988

Northern Mockingbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.