Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Mockingbird Population Trend in New York
Northern Mockingbird in New York has surged: up 345% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+345%Since 1968
86Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Mockingbird Trends in New York
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern Mockingbird has surged in New York: up 345% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Mockingbird Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in New York is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.56–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-14%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.56–3.495% range
±29.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.0 | 0.54 | 3.4 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 3.4 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 3.4 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 0.56 | 3.4 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 0.56 | 3.4 |
Northern Mockingbird Survey Routes in New York
| Jones Beach | 34 | 2013 | 1966 |
| Orleans | 19 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Manorville | 15 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Highland | 15 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Rifton | 13 | 1986 | 1968 |
| Westhampton | 11 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Huntington | 9 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Somers | 9 | 1977 | 1970 |
| Ballston Lk | 9 | 1983 | 1969 |
| Argyle | 9 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Byron | 8 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Churchville | 8 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Naples | 8 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Orange Lake | 8 | 1992 | 1987 |
| Hauppauge | 7 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Ghent | 7 | 2024 | 1966 |
| E Youngstown | 7 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Warwick | 5 | 1974 | 1968 |
| Mt Hope | 5 | 2010 | 1967 |
| Macdougall | 5 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Rushville | 5 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Mt Morris | 5 | 2012 | 2009 |
| Dryden | 3 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Hamburg | 3 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Penfield | 3 | 2024 | 1971 |
Northern Mockingbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.