BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Belted Kingfisher in Florida has collapsed: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-86%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
48YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Belted Kingfisher Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Belted Kingfisher has collapsed in Florida: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Belted Kingfisher Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±172.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±172.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±172.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.030.000.12
20260.030.000.12
20270.030.000.12
20280.020.000.12
20290.020.000.12

Belted Kingfisher Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Belted Kingfisher in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Oak Grove320111967
Broad Branch220111969
Lovedale220061987
Ft Mccoy219891989
Ft Waltn Bch119701966
Mossy Head119801977
Blountstown120041967
Miccosukee120191967
Seminole Hls120001967
Punta Gorda119841982
Port St Joe120081985
Covington119771972
Belmont119811970
Webb119951995
Myakka Head119681966
St Augustine119811970
Hilliard119661966
San Antonio120051983
Belmore119681968
Mabel119951975
Scottsmoor120051968
St Vincent I120162000
Ft Lonesome119721970
Pinecrest119661966
Indiantown119931978

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.