BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Georgia

All statesGeneralists

Belted Kingfisher in Georgia has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-69%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
86Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Belted Kingfisher Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Belted Kingfisher has fallen sharply in Georgia: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Belted Kingfisher Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Georgia is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.00–0.35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-54%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.10Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.3595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±36.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Georgia is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.00–0.35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.130.000.38
20260.120.000.37
20270.110.000.36
20280.100.000.35
20290.100.000.35

Belted Kingfisher Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Belted Kingfisher in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Siloam320121967
Pitts320241977
Fitzgerald220241968
Courthouse220091966
Lyons219941968
Nashville220181975
Hollonville220021973
Doles219991976
Linwood220231972
Hiram219841976
Lakeview220192019
Amos Mill220222011
Davis Crossroads220212011
Stoney Point 2220182015
Darien120011966
Stockton120231983
Baxley120191967
Fowlstown120141968
Everett City119921992
Cuthbert120141967
Guyton119871972
Wrightsville120241966
Hawkinsville120031967
Forsyth120231973
Crest120191973

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.