BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Ohio

All statesGeneralists

Belted Kingfisher in Ohio has edged up: up 17% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+17%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
81Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Belted Kingfisher Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Belted Kingfisher in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Belted Kingfisher Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Ohio is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 0.34 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.03–0.43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-32%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.23Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–0.4395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Ohio is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 0.34 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.03–0.43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.240.040.44
20260.240.040.44
20270.230.030.43
20280.230.030.43
20290.230.030.43

Belted Kingfisher Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Belted Kingfisher in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lattasburg320241976
Newport319941977
Hiram320181993
N Baltimore220131967
Garrettsvile219891973
Kalida220101988
Winterset219821974
Smithfield220241969
Dunlap219861968
Rome220231967
Valley City220001996
Stonecreek220221999
Birmingham220241988
Wilgus220011992
Keene220231992
Scioto Trail219921992
Lockport119781976
Napoleon120241979
Kunkle120191998
Bloomville120211999
Kingsway120221966
Graytown119711967
Pittsfield120241992
Peru119761967
Bismark119911967

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.