Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Virginia
Belted Kingfisher in Virginia has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-63%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Belted Kingfisher Trends in Virginia
long arc declinecomputed index
Belted Kingfisher has fallen sharply in Virginia: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Belted Kingfisher Population Forecast in Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Virginia is projected to fall about 75% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-75%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4495% range
±71.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| 2026 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| 2027 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
Belted Kingfisher Survey Routes in Virginia
| Star Tannery | 3 | 2016 | 1977 |
| Taylorstown | 3 | 2010 | 1967 |
| Ringgold | 3 | 2013 | 1989 |
| Gloucester | 3 | 2021 | 1994 |
| W Augusta | 2 | 2013 | 1967 |
| Tryme | 2 | 2018 | 1982 |
| Putnam | 2 | 2015 | 1970 |
| Amherst | 2 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Big Island | 2 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Covesville | 2 | 2019 | 1971 |
| Branchville | 2 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Backbay | 2 | 1972 | 1966 |
| Moran | 2 | 2022 | 2005 |
| Nat Tunnel | 2 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Churchville | 1 | 2006 | 1967 |
| Stanley | 1 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Edinburg | 1 | 2015 | 1973 |
| Jerome | 1 | 2018 | 1974 |
| Great Falls | 1 | 1966 | 1966 |
| Port Royal | 1 | 2019 | 1987 |
| Dryden | 1 | 1998 | 1991 |
| David | 1 | 2012 | 1968 |
| Isom | 1 | 2012 | 1969 |
| Covington | 1 | 2002 | 1966 |
| Newbern | 1 | 1982 | 1968 |
Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.