BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGeneralists

Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+3%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
50Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Belted Kingfisher Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Belted Kingfisher Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 0.37 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-50%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.18Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.6295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±32.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 0.37 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.210.000.64
20260.200.000.63
20270.200.000.63
20280.190.000.62
20290.180.000.62

Belted Kingfisher Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Fayette420031966
Duck Hill420231973
Tallahatchie320241996
Beverly220001974
Dundee220041983
Lucien220041974
Cockrum220211974
Grenada Lake220181997
Holly Springs220192018
Tippo220241997
Tchula 3220191995
Trace Attala220162016
Fort Adams220001975
Embry220211991
Lake Mary119901987
Commerce119931966
Diberville119811980
Benton119981978
Isola119971976
Utica120071966
Olive Branch120001972
Walthall119871970
Forest120071972
Lake120211966
Mt Carmel120131988

Belted Kingfisher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.