BirdAnalyst
Guild · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Forest Birds In Oklahoma

All statesOklahoma

38 species in this guild. As a group they are +27%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1969.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for forest birds in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Forest Birds In Oklahoma Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 2.2–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+33%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.2–3.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±34%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 2.2–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.72.13.3
20262.72.13.3
20272.72.13.4
20282.82.13.4
20292.82.23.4

Member Species In Oklahoma

Forest birds species in Oklahoma.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Northern House WrenTroglodytidae-85%
Bell's VireoVireonidae-66%
Eastern BluebirdTurdidae-64%
Yellow WarblerParulidae-63%
Wood ThrushTurdidae-57%
American RobinTurdidae-55%
Bewick's WrenTroglodytidae-54%
Prothonotary WarblerParulidae-52%
Common YellowthroatParulidae-36%
Red-headed WoodpeckerPicidae-21%
Worm-eating WarblerParulidae-7%
Warbling VireoVireonidae+3%
Downy WoodpeckerPicidae+39%
Red-bellied WoodpeckerPicidae+46%
American RedstartParulidae+48%
OvenbirdParulidae+53%
Blue-gray GnatcatcherPolioptilidae+61%
Louisiana WaterthrushParulidae+63%
Tufted TitmouseParidae+74%
Ladder-backed WoodpeckerPicidae+101%
Hairy WoodpeckerPicidae+102%
Carolina ChickadeeParidae+118%
Canyon WrenTroglodytidae+123%
Kentucky WarblerParulidae+125%
Pileated WoodpeckerPicidae+136%
Carolina WrenTroglodytidae+139%
Red-eyed VireoVireonidae+225%
Brown-headed NuthatchSittidae+251%
Prairie WarblerParulidae+276%
Black-and-white WarblerParulidae+319%
Northern ParulaParulidae+319%
Yellow-throated WarblerParulidae+329%
White-breasted NuthatchSittidae+339%
Hooded WarblerParulidae+349%
White-eyed VireoVireonidae+420%
Black-capped VireoVireonidae+529%
Yellow-throated VireoVireonidae+817%
Pine WarblerParulidae11×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.