BirdAnalyst
Guild · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Forest Birds In Oklahoma

All statesOklahoma

60 species in this guild. As a group they are +14%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1969.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for forest birds in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Forest Birds In Oklahoma Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.8 (95% range 3.1–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.1–4.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.8 (95% range 3.1–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.73.04.4
20273.73.04.5
20283.83.04.5
20293.83.14.5
20303.83.14.5

Member Species In Oklahoma

Forest birds species in Oklahoma.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Baltimore OrioleIcteridae-88%
Northern House WrenTroglodytidae-85%
Gray CatbirdMimidae-83%
Orchard OrioleIcteridae-82%
American GoldfinchFringillidae-76%
Brown ThrasherMimidae-70%
Field SparrowPasserellidae-65%
Bell's VireoVireonidae-61%
Yellow WarblerParulidae-61%
American RobinTurdidae-60%
Wood ThrushTurdidae-58%
Common YellowthroatParulidae-47%
Eastern BluebirdTurdidae-45%
Ruby-throated HummingbirdTrochilidae-39%
Bewick's WrenTroglodytidae-36%
Chipping SparrowPasserellidae-34%
Blue JayCorvidae-30%
Yellow-billed CuckooCuculidae-25%
Red-headed WoodpeckerPicidae-12%
Bullock's OrioleIcteridae-8%
Worm-eating WarblerParulidae-7%
Prothonotary WarblerParulidae-4%
Black-billed CuckooCuculidae-1%
Warbling VireoVireonidae+21%
American RedstartParulidae+48%
Louisiana WaterthrushParulidae+50%
Red-bellied WoodpeckerPicidae+55%
Painted BuntingCardinalidae+60%
Canyon WrenTroglodytidae+63%
Yellow-breasted ChatIcteriidae+69%
Indigo BuntingCardinalidae+69%
Blue GrosbeakCardinalidae+73%
Tufted TitmouseParidae+76%
Northern CardinalCardinalidae+81%
Blue-gray GnatcatcherPolioptilidae+84%
Downy WoodpeckerPicidae+87%
Ladder-backed WoodpeckerPicidae+95%
Carolina ChickadeeParidae+113%
Summer TanagerCardinalidae+120%
Kentucky WarblerParulidae+129%
OvenbirdParulidae+146%
Pileated WoodpeckerPicidae+146%
Hairy WoodpeckerPicidae+181%
Carolina WrenTroglodytidae+181%
Scarlet TanagerCardinalidae+182%
Prairie WarblerParulidae+196%
Red-eyed VireoVireonidae+198%
Bachman's SparrowPasserellidae+208%
Black-chinned HummingbirdTrochilidae+218%
Brown-headed NuthatchSittidae+251%
White-breasted NuthatchSittidae+303%
Eastern TowheePasserellidae+318%
Hooded WarblerParulidae+365%
Northern ParulaParulidae+380%
Black-capped VireoVireonidae+422%
Yellow-throated WarblerParulidae+443%
Black-and-white WarblerParulidae+480%
White-eyed VireoVireonidae+559%
Yellow-throated VireoVireonidae+803%
Pine WarblerParulidae+958%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.